Predictions for 2007

Dave — Fri, 22 Dec 2006 19:05:00 GMT

Corporations return to more traditional work environments. More people wearing ties, increasing demands to work longer hours in exchange for higher pay. More job opportunities for decision makers. Unskilled labor rates stagnate, tech sector and IT related jobs stay the same as they are now for next year.

Energy becomes very exiting because of legitimate economic needs, cool technological advances, anti-middle east sentiment, the desire to address global warming, the effects of which we can now actually feel, and President Bush's desire to leave behind a legacy other than a burning Iraq.

The Presidential race is coming and we can expect great bits from Howard Stern, the Daily Show, The Colbert Report and of course Saturday Night Live.

Web 2.0 is going to rock! Digg.com will close in on top 5 most visited sites on the Internet by late 07. Technologies like SOAP and ASP.NET will empower all kinds of innovation that we can't picture right now. This will be a great year for startups out of peoples basements and I foresee another Internet gold rush with Venture Capitalists investing big bucks in mostly the wrong companies, but a few will be showing interesting potential by the end of 07.

Nintendo Wii revolutionizes the electronic game industry by a) introducing physical exercise into standard game play b) including everyone in the fun with games such as tennis and bowling where you swing the motion sensitive remote (included standard). Wii becomes THE console system for the family to enjoy some QT or for a group of friends to hang out in an undersized apartment drinking beer. Sony will look cooler but just wont be as fun. PS3 will appeal more to hard-core gamers who will also own an X-Box, PSP and Wii, and younger gamers with parents who have high disposable income. Wii becomes the iPod of console games.

Microsoft Zune will be a bomb. There's a Pink Elephant component to the iPod phenomena, you'll know it when you see it. You fell in love with it and anything else would be cheating on your mate. Besides, why am I going to switch from iPod to Zune if Zune is pretty much the same thing? Even if Zune is a little better, people aren't going to switch unless it is way better. I predict slow Zune sales throughout 2007. Microsoft will likely seek a way to make iPod irrelevant by bundling Zune with Windows Vista SP1.

Sales of Windows Vista will be sluggish. The people who will want it are 'me first' people who seek the freshness of a new user interface and want to play with something cool. However, Window's Vista doesn't offer any compelling reason to upgrade. There's nothing in there that you have got to have, basically Vista at best will catch the Windows user interface up to what Mac has had for years. Sales of Vista will continue to be slow through to 2008 because corporations have no reason to justify the upgrade. Sales will primarily be driven by Microsoft's relationship with vendors, and bundling the OS with new computer sales.

More celebrities will be selling fragrance with their name on it. Britany Spears will come out with a curiously awful new perfume called 'Trashy' which will in fact smell like actual garbage. If you don't have your own perfume then you are nobody! I'm waiting for Weird Al to come out with something.

People aren't really making any more money, but they'll feel more confident in their earnings in 07. Even more products will be available at amazingly affordable prices, so consumer spending will be strong. This year will be a slow year for real estate in the private sector. The velocity of trades will be slower and the sizes of commissions will be smaller. The commercial sector will be decent but not exactly the best ever.

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Predictions for 2007